Weekly Risk Report | October 6, 2024

Summary

  • Over the past week, the protocol’s volume increased by a massive 51.95%, averaging $571.2M per day, compared to $375.9M on average in the three weeks prior.
  • In the same span, SOL’s price decreased by 7.68%, ETH’s price decreased by 8.20%, and BTC’s price decreased by 4.31%. JLP decreased by just 1.08% vs. the JLP basket’s 4.82%, representing an outperformance of 3.74% for LPs relative to the JLP pool’s underlying assets.
  • Jupiter traders’ aggregate realized PnL decreased by $3.5M in gross terms and decreased by $6.1M in net terms due to their long-favored exposure. Cumulative unrealized PnLs decreased by an additional $1.2M.

Protocol Level

JLP Pool

The JLP pool grew in nominal terms this week, with SOL, WBTC, WETH, and USDT deposits all rising. SOL remains consistently above target, though only by 1-3 percentage points.

JLP Market Comparison

JLP’s market price decreased by just 1.08% over the last week. In the same period, BTC decreased by 4.31%, ETH decreased by 8.20%, and SOL decreased by 7.68%.

Given the JLP pool’s weights:

  • SOL - 46.68%
  • WBTC - 11.1%
  • WETH - 9.17%
  • USDC - 24.24%
  • USDT - 8.8%

JLP’s basket price decreased by 4.82%. Jupiter LP token holders therefore outperformed the JLP basket by 3.74% due to the long-skewed imbalance of open interest.

Volume

Volume increased by 51.95% on Jupiter in the past week compared to previous weeks, averaging $571.2M per day, compared to $375.9M on average in the three weeks prior.

SOL continues to be the most dominant market on Jupiter, consisting of 74.06% of the protocol volume in the last week. BTC continues to grow its share.

Unique Daily Users

Jupiter saw a maximum of ~8,500 unique active users on October 1st, and a typical range of 3,000 - 6,500.

PnL

Due to Jupiter traders’ net long exposure, their aggregate realized PnL decreased by $3.5M in gross terms and by $6.1M after fees. Traders’ cumulative unrealized PnLs, meanwhile, decreased by $1.2M this week.

Fees

Jupiter’s daily fees peaked on October 1st at more than $1.4M. Over the past week, Jupiter’s total cumulative fees were ~$4.5M, with a daily average of $645.5K, an increase of 28.00% from $504.3K the previous three weeks.


Market Level

OI Distribution

Jupiter’s traders continue to have a strong bias for long positions. There’s currently no expectation or reason for that to change.

SOL:


BTC:


ETH:


Price Impact

P99 trades have paid 7.87 bps in the SOL market over the last four weeks, while BTC and ETH markets have paid 6.7 and 6.47 bps, respectively. P95 and below pay less than 1 basis point above 6 bps, the base rate, in all markets.

SOL:

BTC:

ETH:

9 Likes

@chaoslabs always consistent. Drops these weekly reviews like magic​:clap:t6::clap:t6:

4 Likes

The delivery is always top-notch :handshake:. Kudos

4 Likes

Thanks for the report. Very informative!

3 Likes

Thank you for the tireless work on these reports!

4 Likes

Can’t appreciate you guys enough on doing that job !

3 Likes

What happened at the start of Oct that spiked the users?

1 Like

@lastone1, thanks for the question. On October 1st, there was a broad sell-off of crypto assets, likely in response to the escalating geopolitical conflict. SOL, ETH, and BTC all fell by 3-10% that day.

3 Likes

Makes sense, thx for the reply

4 Likes