Weekly Risk Report | February 17, 2025

Summary

  • Over the past week, the protocol’s volume decreased by 61.92%, averaging $550.5M per day, compared to $1.4B on average in the three weeks prior.

  • In the same span, SOL’s price decreased by 5.54%, ETH’s price increased by 1.47%, and BTC’s price decreased by 0.13%. JLP decreased by 3.14% vs. the JLP basket’s 2.51% decrease, representing an impermanent loss of 0.63% for LPs relative to the JLP pool’s underlying assets.

  • Jupiter traders’ aggregate realized PnL decreased by $2.4M in gross terms and decreased by $7.4M in net terms due to their long-favored exposure. Traders’ cumulative unrealized PnLs, meanwhile, decreased by $11.8M this week.

Protocol level

JLP pool

The JLP pool’s nominal SOL & WETH balance grew while its USDC balance contracted slightly this week.

That said, the pool’s composition remained close to target and utilization rates remained steady.

JLP Market Comparison

JLP’s market price decreased by 3.14% over the last week. In the same period, BTC decreased by 0.13%, ETH increased by 1.47%, and SOL decreased by 5.54%.

Given the JLP pool’s weights:

  • SOL - 47.69%

  • WBTC - 12.65%

  • WETH - 10.03%

  • USDC - 25.88%

  • USDT - 3.72%

JLP’s basket price decreased by 2.51%, reflecting a small impermanent loss of 0.63% for LPs due to the long-skewed imbalance of open interest.

Volume

Volume decreased by 61.92% on Jupiter in the past week compared to previous weeks, averaging $550.5M per day, compared to $1.4B on average in the three weeks prior. BTC’s average daily volume decreased by 65.56% over the last week compared to the three weeks prior.

SOL continues to be the most dominant market on Jupiter, consisting of 71.47% of the protocol volume in the last week.

Unique daily users

In the last week, Jupiter’s perps exchange has served between 5,000 and 8,000 addresses per day.

PnL

Due to Jupiter traders’ net long exposure, their aggregate realized PnL decreased by $2.4M in gross terms and decreased by $7.4M after accounting for fees. Traders’ cumulative unrealized PnLs, meanwhile, decreased by $11.8M this week.

Fees

Over the past week, Jupiter’s cumulative fees were ~$3.9M, with a daily average of $552.6K, a decrease of 65.38% from $1.6M the previous three weeks.

Market Level

OI distribution

Jupiter’s traders continue to have a strong bias for long positions. There’s currently no expectation or reason for that to change.

SOL:

BTC:

ETH:

Price impact

P99 trades by position size have paid 8.49 bps in the SOL market over the last four weeks, while BTC and ETH markets have paid 7.15 and 6.58 bps, respectively. P95 and below trades by size have paid less than 1 basis point above 6 bps, the base rate, in all markets.

SOL:

BTC:

ETH:

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to understand most of the paragraph shared to us i was reading and googling, thanks!
Its interesting to read and to understand a little more the meanings of P99 / P96 and more (in resume i copy this portion) sharing a little:

  1. Liquidity and Market Depth:
    SOL: Higher price impact for P99 trades (8.49 bps) indicates less liquidity and market depth compared to ETH. Large trades in SOL can significantly move the price.
    ETH: Lower price impact for P99 trades (6.58 bps) indicates more liquidity and market depth. Large trades in ETH have a smaller impact on the price.

  2. Stability:
    SOL: More volatile and sensitive to large trades due to lower liquidity.
    ETH: More stable and less affected by large trades due to higher liquidity.

  3. Trading Considerations:

  4. SOL: Traders should be cautious with large trades in SOL due to higher price impact and potential for significant price movements.

    • ETH: More suitable for large trades due to lower price impact and greater market stability.
  5. SOL vs. ETH: The higher price impact in SOL (8.49 bps) compared to ETH (6.58 bps) suggests that SOL is more volatile and less stable for large trades

:writing_hand: I’m strong believing that with Jup we are going to grow too because the Solana ecosystems and more projects inside the Jupiverse to come. Positivism and with the loyal community. Regards and happy President day

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