Jupiter Airdrop Round 2 (2025): Analysis, Discussion & Proposal for Distribution

This is not really an issue anymore in Jupuary round #2 vs Jupuary round #1 because the potential airdrop amount per user decreased significantly up to ~ 50X. For example:

In my proposal a whale making $1M - $10M in transaction volume would gets only around ~ 2,200 JUP airdrop (in Jupuary round #1 this was 100,200 JUP!).

  • $1M - $10M tier: 70M JUP / 31,920 users = 2,193 JUP per user

To generate $1M in transaction volume it costs around $250 - $1000+, and to generate $10M in transaction volume it would cost $2,500 - $10,000+.

The precise number depends mainly on the asset, the liquidity size, the transaction volume, the slippage and the sizing and the timing of the transaction.

Applying an advanced transaction multiplier to ~ 2.2 Million / 3.4 Million wallets to calculate precisely weighted allocations would be very complex and require substantial math and computing power.

The team has said they will apply deduplication, but Meow also said multiple times they want to keep the criteria and rules for Jupuary easy to implement and understand with little complex math.

That’s why volume-based requirements make most sense. The $100+ requirement filters out 11,361,557 wallets. Making many transactions doesn’t cost much, but making big transactions costs a lot.

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